Monday, October 6, 2014

#5 October 6 2014 I have been without the internet for a few days, so used the opportunity to re-edit my first book (amongst other things.

PERSONAL NEWS

VICTOR - SHOT BY MICK - ENHANCED

Being without the internet these days is akin to being unable to breathe (or close). I’m now fairly convinced that we are all going to be wired via implants—to receive the internet directly in the not too far distant future. I would have regarded such a notion as fanciful up until recently—but now I think otherwise. And where will we stop after that? I’m not sure we will.

Hybrid humans are on the way. Hybrots—if I may coin a term. They won’t be common in my lifetime—but they are coming sooner than we think. A hybrot won’t just have various body parts replaced, but will have his or her brain enhanced as well—and, doubtless, much more besides. Good grief, my kids will probably morph into hybrots—and my grandchildren certainly will. 

I’m a grandbrot. I find that vaguely creepy.

It felt very strange re-editing GAMES OF THE HANGMAN. I poured my life and soul into that book—and spent five years at it—and it shows in just about every way.

I always thought it was a good book—indeed, a terrific thriller—but, re-reading it after all this time has made me realize that it is quite a remarkable book.

  • The characters are well drawn, distinctive, and intimately described.
  • The plot is entirely original—and consistently surprising and entertaining.
  • The descriptions of the various locales where the action takes place are just plain excellent—which surprised me, because I have always felt that was a weakness of mine.
  • The dialogue crackles—and, even under the grimmest circumstances, is frequently very funny.
  • The pace is extraordinary.
  • The whole book is sexually charged—but entirely within the context of the story.
  • The action is violent, visceral, and compelling.

It is really not for me to praise my own work, but in this case I was reading it afresh—and was, quite simply, stunned.

On top of everything else, I also discovered that the book is longer than I had remembered. It’s a shade under 200,000 words—or twice as long as many novels.

I must have been crazy—and extraordinarily resolute—to attempt such a formidable task as my first book.

I wrote a tag line for the book to go under the title.

A NOVEL OF TERRORISM, SEXUAL MANIPULATION, LOVE, SERIAL KILLING, ACTION & HIGH ADVENTURE--A HUGO FITZDUANE BOOK

377 words


Sunday, October 5, 2014

#4 October 5 2014. Slightly the worse for wear. The trouble with a good night out is the morning.

PERSONAL NEWS

VICTOR - SHOT BY MICK - ENHANCED

I confess feeling a little battle-damaged this morning though I got up bright and early. Call it a case of having too much fun the previous evening. Good company though.

I have spent the day paying for my sins by focusing almost entirely on administration—something I’m not overly partial too. This is where my particular form of dyslexia causes me trouble. I’m actually quite good at setting up systems, but then my mind switches to writing, and I forget quite what I have done. According to a long piece I read on the condition, I am far far from alone. It makes you wonder how and why a disproportionate number of entrepreneurs are dyslexic.

My particular hate is data entry—trying to find a place to put the mass of notes and addresses I seem to accumulate.

In your phone, I hear you cry!

Hmm! I don’t have a Smartphone. But, even if I did, I’d still have to enter the stuff in the first place. I do have a cell, but have a tendency to put it somewhere where I can hear it, but not see it. Or maybe the damn things move by themselves. My favorite phone is actually a Polycom loudspeaker phone which has excellent voice quality—and the good manners not to hide.

Later, I updated my Promotional Plan and started updating my checklist—and the finally got to writing.

Paradise! I live, and love, to write.

It is now, after 9.00 pm and I guess it’s time to prepare some food. I’ve been working for 14 hours on tea alone. Strangely enough, I feel fine.

The good news is that I feel a little more on top of things—and now I’ve got a clear writing plan for the next 15 months.

295 words


 

Saturday, October 4, 2014

#3 October 4 2014. One thing we’ve learned since the crisis is that bailing out Wall Street didn’t help Main Street

FINANCIALIZATION

VICTOR - SHOT BY MICK - ENHANCED

Relatively soon after I started studying the U.S. economy, I became convinced that Financialization was a serious problem. The Great Recession has proved that in spades. Yet, relatively little has been done to rein in the Financial Sector and the Big Banks (too big to fail?) are bigger than ever (and if bank charges are anything to go by, ever greedier).

Time magazine’s Rana Foroohar cuts to the heart of the matter.

One thing we’ve learned since the crisis is that bailing out Wall Street didn’t help Main Street. Credit to individuals and many businesses plummeted during and after the bailouts and remains below pre-crisis levels today. Numerous experts believe that the size of the financial sector is slowing growth in the real economy by sucking the monetary oxygen out of the room. Banks don’t want to lend; they want to trade, often via esoteric deals that do almost nothing for anyone outside Wall Street.

This disconnect between the real economy and finance is now being closely studied by policymakers and academics. Adair Turner, a former British banking regulator, thinks that only about 15% of U.K. financial flows go to the real economy; the rest stay within the financial system, propping up existing corporate assets, supporting trading and enabling $40 million briefcase-watching fees. If the New York Fed really wants to redeem itself, it might consider commissioning a similar study to look at Wall Street’s contribution to the U.S. economy. After all, if finance can’t justify itself by showing it’s actually doing what it was set up to do–take in deposits and lend them back to all of us–what can justify it?

“Only about 15% of U.K. financial flows go to the real economy.”

My estimate is that the U.S. situation is worse. We have a parasitical financial system.

302 words


Friday, October 3, 2014

#2 October 3 2014. A long haul—and my ‘Year of Death.’

PERSONAL NEWS

VICTOR - SHOT BY MICK - ENHANCED

I am now just starting what I hope will be the last phase of this project—by which I mean the last phase before trading commences. It has been a very long haul starting in mid-July 2010 and interrupted by enough drama to feed a soap opera with material.

December 2010 to January 2012 constituted what I tend to think of as a ‘Year of Death,’ (actually 14 months) during which a truly alarming number of siblings and friends died. I think the total reached 18. I have never known a period like it before or since. The first to die was Jo Curran who I helped to look after in the October to December period before she killed herself under Washington States’s Death With Dignity act. She had been suffering from a particularly aggressive form of cancer.

Jo wasn’t even my friend (she was the friend of a friend)—though she became one before she did the deed. I interviewed her as well as a way of distracting her from her pain. It worked quite well. Joe did like to talk. She was a feisty woman and remarkably courageous towards the end.

So far, I haven’t much felt like listening to the recordings, but am giving though to doing so since nearly four years have now passed. I’m not afraid of listening to them though I know they’ll move me to tears. They’ll also make me laugh. Joe had a bawdy sense of humor and didn’t suffer fools.

At the end, I was once of small group of friends gathered around her bed—and watching her die was one of the saddest experiences of my life.

Did she do the right thing. I think she did. She was in terrible pain, was in danger of being paralyzed from the neck down as the cancer ate into her spine, and she had no change of recovery.

She did, indeed, die with dignity on her own terms at a time of her own choosing. We should all have that option. The most beautiful rainbow appeared after she passed.

I think of her often.

346 words.


Thursday, October 2, 2014

NF #1. New blog format—shorter and more personal—which I will probably introduce over time. This first one is a test.

PERSONAL NEWS

VICTOR - SHOT BY MICK - ENHANCED

FORMAT CHANGES. I’ve had a lot of fun with the previous format, but I think the time has come to make this blog both more personal—and shorter. I will still write longer pieces but they will be kept separately—and probably as downloadable PDFs. I’ve still got to work that out.

I’m changing the blog for several reasons.

  • I need the time to do other things.
  • You, my readers, are, generally speaking, too busy to read a long blog—unless the subject particularly interests you.
  • It’s fun to experiment.

I’m going to try and limit the typical length of a blog (as opposed to an essay on some specific topic) to under 300 words.

HEALTH. It seems I really did give myself a serious hammering mid April. I wasn’t fully out of pain until some time in August—and the whole business had quite an impact on my work. I eased up a bit in September—I needed a mental break—but I’m now pretty much back to full output—and scrambling to catch up.

BOOK WRITING. My next Fitzduane book will be THE DRAGON’S RESPONSE. I first worked out the outline of the story in the mid-90s and now it is screaming to be written. In fact, it was one of the reasons why I spent so much time researching the U.S. Army in the first place. The parallels with the ISIS situation are amazing. I expect when the book comes out people will say it was inspired by ISYS. Actually it was inspired by a vacation in a country in that troubled part of the world which struck me as a perfect location for a battle. In short, I planned the battle first. In fact, for a long time I wasn’t sure I was going to feature Fitzduane in the story—but he talked his way in. Characters do that.

307 words.


October 2 2014. On the one hand we have a booming stock market and record corporate profits. On the other hand, millions of Americans in the 25-54 age group are fleeing the work force. These people aren’t too old—and yet they are opting out. Roughly a quarter of Americans in that prime working period are unemployed. Are many U.S. workers becoming disillusioned by poor pay and working conditions? The evidence supports just that. There is a quiet rebellion afoot. It may not stay quiet.

I never attempt to make money on the stock market. I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.

Warren Buffett

I will never be in the stock market. It's just gambling. I'm a gambler, but I'll gamble on the practicality of things.

Jeremy Renner

One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person buys, another sells, and both think they are astute.

William Feather


1 in 4 americans not working

not in labor force

I have repeatedly argued that the current American Business Model is deeply flawed—and have pointed out that Northern European workers are not only better paid, but have superior working conditions—including job security and long vacations—yet still manage to out-compete us. Actually, the Danes don’t offer job security. Their intriguing variation is to allow you to be fired with ease (thus making employers less afraid to hire) but able to retain your earning power. They have income security.

How do the Northern Europeans outcompete us? A better educated, better motivated, more secure, better treated, multi-lingual workforce can both add more value (make better products) and market them more effectively. 

Many American workers seem to agree and are voting with their feet. It’s a disturbing, but predictable, trend. Treat people badly for long enough, and they will turn on you. Dropping out of the workforce is just the beginning. At a certain stage, resentment at being badly treated turns to active opposition.

“(Weekly Standard) Those attempting to minimize the startling figures about America’s vanishing workforce—workplace participation overall is near a four-decade low—will say an aging population is to blame. But in fact, while the workforce overall has shrunk nearly 10 million since 2009, the cohort of workers in the labor force ages 55 to 64 has actually increased over that same period, with many delaying retirement due to poor economic conditions.

“In fact, over two-thirds of all labor force dropouts since that time have been under the age of 55. These statistics illustrate that the problems in the American economy are deep, profound, and pervasive, afflicting the sector of the labor force that should be among the most productive.”

“You’ll notice over this 10 year period, those not in the labor force increased by 16 million. What is even more telling is that 12 million of that growth came in the last 5 years alone (a time of economic recovery on paper). But the recovery in many respects has come from firms cutting wages, slashing benefits, and suffocating the middle class. This has done wonders with increasing profits for Wall Street but 90 percent of stock wealth is controlled by 10 percent of the population.”

I continue to be amazed that there is so little discussion of how distorted the U.S. economy has become. The implicit assumption seems to be that if the stock market is up, we have some growth, and unemployment is going down, that all is well. That’s just looking at the surface of things.

If you look at the economic wellbeing of most American families, you will see another picture entirely. The most common term used to describe this is that we have a bifurcated economy—a small minority doing well, most losing ground.

That describes the situation accurately. The mystery is why so little is being done about it.


Wednesday, October 1, 2014

October 1 2014. Why do I blog about what I blog about? Is it madness—or is there method?

Writing is the only way I have to explain my own life to myself.”

Pat Conroy, My Reading Life

“I'm a writer by profession and it's totally clear to me that since I started blogging, the amount I write has increased exponentially, my daily interactions with the views of others have never been so frequent, the diversity of voices I engage with is far higher than in the pre-Internet age—and all this has helped me become more modest as a thinker, more open to error, less fixated on what I do know, and more respectful of what I don't. If this is a deterioration in my brain, then more, please.”
Andrew Sullivan


I appreciate that some readers of this blog must find the subjects I write about a somewhat eclectic collection. Well, I have explained my reasons before, but since it is something of a hassle to search back, let me repeat them—probably not identically. One’s thinking evolves.

WHY BLOG AT ALL? I didn’t like blogging at all at first—I’m a relatively private person for starters—but then I found that the discipline of having to think about a different subject to write about every day (and then to write about it) was having a positive effect.

Secondly, when I stopped blogging for a while, I requested numerous request to head back down the salt mines.

I also learn a great deal through blogging. But my rationale is as follows.

  • To keep in touch with readers
  • To communicate to family and friends.
  • As a writing exercise—to ensure I write something every single day and as a daily discipline in its own right.
  • To clarify my own ideas
  • To try and resolve a few demons.
  • To advocate change in certain key area.

Do I think blogging can change anything? Actually, I do. In fact, you don’t need to reach a large number of people to make a difference. The important thing is to reach the right people.

Change is peculiar. Just when you think you are getting nowhere, it all starts to happen.

WHY WRITE SO MUCH ABOUT WRITING? I have learned a great deal from reading the experiences and thoughts of other writers so in some ways I’m merely putting something back into the pot.

I find myself thinking with particular concern about the aspiring writer, and hope my tales about the early days will provide some comfort as well as practical advice. You feel so alone when you are learning to write at a professional level for the first time, that it is comforting to read that others suffered ahead of you—and survived..

My writing oriented essays will also be used as the basis for a book on writing—target primarily at the aspiring writer. In fact, it is close to being finished.

CREATIVITY & THE ARTS. I had a decidedly strange upbringing—unpleasant in many ways—but, for all its negatives, it was creatively stimulating. In addition, I am innately intellectually curious. This combination has led me to have a deep belief in creativity to the point where I have formed the view that we should do vastly more to encourage it. Instead, we suppress it in many ways. I write about this area in order to promote creativity and to try and advance more own ideas on the matter. I also have numerous connections in this area and like writing about them. My uncle by marriage, GODFREY QUIGLEY (see photo)  was a highly successful producer, director and actor and had major roles in BARRY LYNDON, GET CARTER, EDUCATING RITA, and CLOCKWORK ORANGE amongst other movies. He was one of my favorite people. He was the first person to teach me how to pour a beer—and when he was at university, he let me take over his mother’s apartment (she had died). Strangely enough, my first serious girlfriend ended up falling for him—and they were together until he died of Alzheimer’s. A little later, having announced her intentions quite clearly, she killed herself.

TERRORISM. It would be strange, indeed, if I didn’t write about terrorism. It has been an interest of mine since my mid-teens—and, of course, I lived with it in Ireland for many years. It wasn’t of major concern in the South—though there was some spillover—but the North, in those days, was a war zone. Also, all my thrillers feature terrorism. It is, if you will, one of my areas of expertise.

My real interest is not just in terrorism, but in small wars, irregular wars, and terrorism since 1945—so I don’t limit my interest to guys who don’t wear uniforms and blow up civilians.

The aspect that interests me most is asymmetric warfare—how conventional military power can be countered so effectively by the weak. Here, I tend to empathize with both sides. One the one hand, Ireland won its independence through terrorism—and my Irish blood supports that. On the other hand, I certainly didn’t support the 30 year campaign the IRA (and various spinoff groups) launched in 1969.

Mostly, I’m against terrorism. However I do understand it. Primarily, it’s a tactic of desperate people. We need to understand the causes more than we do. By and large we’ve chosen to demonize terrorists instead. This is not a wise attitude.

MILITARY.  I have so many military connections—both family and friends—I scarcely know where to start. I have also done a considerable amount of military related work, and have more than a little expertise in this area. Apart from being innately interested, I am also on a countdown to complete a major novel on the U.S. Army.

Dave Petraeus commanded the unit of the 82nd Airborne I researched back in the early 90s. He was a colonel then—and singularly impressive. He has served his country with distinction. Personally, I think the president should have refused his resignation. We need immensely able people like him. But, I’m biased, of course. I like him personally.

WEAPONS & RELATED EQUIPMENT. You have got to remember I’m a thriller writer—so am constantly looking for items to make my books more interesting. That apart, I like to keep my military knowledge up to date.

AVIATION.  I have been fascinated by aviation from an early age. I was about four when I first flew on a DC-3 from Dublin, Ireland, to Northolt Airport near London. I was six when I fist saw a jet in the sky and was absolutely thrilled. I did a great deal of flying in small, rather dangerous aircraft when I was in my early 20s (thanks to the woman in my life). Suffice to say that I have loved aviation since I was very young. My interest is kept alive through my friendship with Tim Roderick, a former Apache attack helicopter pilot who has been one of my closest friends since the mid 90s—and yes, I have flown in an Apache (a life changing experience).

THE ECONOMY.  I have a Masters in this area—but don’t consider myself a particularly good statistical economist. My specialty has long been behavioral economics—which focuses more on human behavior. Though I have never practiced as an economist, it has emerged as an ever increasing passion—and I have now become really quite good at reading an economy. In fact, I’m now in my eleventh year of studying the U.S. economy and have evolved some strong views on the subject.

My intention is to move my economic comments onto a separate web site—but so far I haven’t found the time.

HEALTHCARE.  Frankly, I’m surprised that more Americans don’t write about healthcare. The present system is so expensive, corrupt, and inefficient that we should be all rioting in the streets. True, Obamacare looks like easing certain elements, but the rot is so deep—it will need more fundamental reform. I’m also surprised that more Americans are not concerned that our longevity is roughly three years less that that of the citizens of other developed countries.

Why should those pesky Europeans live three year longer? Maybe we should be trying somewhat harder to answer that question.

AlfFAMILY HISTORY & MEMORIES. I had a difficult upbringing—which was not without its positive aspects (particularly in relation to encouraging creativity). I write about it for a number of reasons.

  • It’s therapeutic.
  • It’s interesting.
  • Aspects are extremely amusing.
  • I intend to turn all of this into an autobiography fairly soon.

The photo is of my much loved stepfather, Alfred Lyons, when he was in his prime. He did tragically far too young.

BOOKS. Actually, I’m surprised I don’t write more about books. They have been fundamental to my life from the time I could read—and saved me when I was at boarding school. Ironically, I have never read fewer books than this year probably because I have been writing so much. The good news is that the books I have read have been outstanding. I hereby resolve to write more about books.

THE ENVIRONMENT.  It seems to me that we should all be a great deal more concerned about the environment than we are. I was introduced to this area when I was still very young by my grandmother—who was a pioneer when it came to environmental concern.

Miss HaslamSOCIAL JUSTICE.  I am, I freely admit, socially concerned. I suspect I get this from may grandmother, Vida Lentaigne, a high minded woman whose father was a British Liberal MP—not to mention a wealthy textile magnate. Anyway, my grandmother was heavily involved in liberal causes from early days, and did a huge amount of good in her life. I absolutely adored her.

The painting is a portrait of my grandmother as a young woman by Sir John Lavery. It used to hang in out dining room—and I loved it. It was sold by my mother before she moved from Ireland to Spain. That tells you all you need to know about their relationship. I went into shock when I heard. Hell, I think I’m still in shock.

WOMEN, I like most women (subject to some notable exceptions)—and, mostly, they seem to have liked me. I don’t just like women sexually—although sex has played no small part in my life—but I enjoy the company of women. They/you have a different perspective from men, and, in many ways are smarter (except when it comes to men).

They/you are a pleasure to talk to—and, generally speaking, are better communicators. 

What I don’t understand is why we continue to treat women so badly. It’s completely wrong that women are only paid 77 cents to the male dollar, for instance. Similarly, women would benefit disproportionately if the minimum wage was increased significantly.

I’m truly puzzled as to why women accept second class citizen status.

I hope to write more about women in the future than I have.

Why is Rosie the Riveter my graphic? Because I don’t want to make this section all about sex—yet I would certainly like a more feminine looking woman displayed than the muscular Rose. But, who is the question. I am temporarily stumped? There is an excess of choice. There seem to be more beautiful women in Seattle alone—and of all ages—that I could ever have imagined when I was a sex-starved teenager.

Do I go for a particular type? No, I don’t—though I have a weakness for intelligence, a good voice, and long legs. So, in view of my indecision, Rosie is my placeholder.

VICTOR - SHOT BY MICK - ENHANCEDCURRENT PERSONAL STATUS. A confession is in order here. I rarely write about my current status at all—even though I know I should. Let me explain why.

  • As stated previously, I am a fairly private person in the first place.
  • I have been trying to reorganize my way of working fundamentally since 2010 and have had more than a few setbacks. I guess I am too embarrassed to want to document all my mistakes publicly (though it would probably make for an interesting story). But, I’m reluctant to tell it until I have some success under my belt. I guess that is pride talking.
  • In fact, I have enjoyed considerable successes in some areas, but mostly they are not the kind of things that would mean much to other people—although they mean a great deal to me.

The bottom line is that it is my intention to make this blog more personal as soon as I have a clearer path ahead. Am I close to that? Yes, I think so.

Have I the courage to do so?

My courage is like the curate’s egg—good in parts. That means there are times when I’m not as courageous as I would like.

The truth is that I don’t know. Wait and see is the answer.